Tinius Digest December

Tinius Digest

Tinius Digest report on changes, trends and developments within the media business at large. These are our key findings from last month.

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Insight December 2022

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Schibsted's comprehensive trend report

Schibsted has published its annual Future Report. 

Download the report.

Three main trends:

1

The metaverse redefines our digital lives

The metaverse might be a utopic vision for the future of the internet or the inevitable fate of our digital lives. Either way, the metaverse will open vast possibilities—and challenges—for technology and more traditional companies. The essential precursor is to be ready to change.

2

The rise of china as a high-tech superpower

The Chinese Communist Party’s immense tech ambitions are reaping rewards thanks to intellectual property theft, innovation, a clear strategy and a political iron grip on the country’s technology industry. European nations find themselves between China and the US—who both are willing to play dirty to win this race—and must decide what role they want to play in this cold war over tech supremacy.

3

AI creates new possibilities and challenges

Artificial Intelligence is beginning to live up to its hype. The media industry is already benefiting, and the future holds incredible possibilities. But there are many downsides to the development. Technologies are not neutral, and some AI systems are explicitly designed to harm us—for instance, through surveillance and auto-generated disinformations targeted at individuals. A part of the solution is clear and forward-looking regulations and critical journalism.

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More news publishers are embracing TikTok

Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism has tracked the extent of publisher activity across more than 40 countries.

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Five main findings:

1

TikTok gaining media-traction

Around half (49 percent) of top news publishers are now regularly publishing content on TikTok—shows a study of 44 markets. A large proportion of these have joined TikTok in the last year.

2

Varying publisher adoption

The vast majority of Indonesian (90 percent), Australian (89 percent), Spanish (86 percent), French (86 percent), and UK (81 percent) publishers operate active accounts on TikTok. News organisations in Denmark (27 percent) have been slower to move onto the platform.

3

Counterweight to misinformation

The fast-growing audience and younger demographic attract news organisations, but they are also motivated to provide reliable news amid fears about widespread misinformation on the platform.

4

TikTok-ification of news

Some publishers are staying away or engaging cautiously. Some worry about the Chinese ownership of the platform and the potential implications for free speech; others fear that the ‘TikTok-ification of news’ risks trivialising essential stories and undermining business models that depend on referral traffic from social media networks.

5

No recipe for success

Several publishers use a strategy based on young creators native to the platform and its unique language. Others prefer to showcase the talents of the entire newsroom, making minimal changes to the existing tone or content.

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Record number of detained and killed journalists

Reporters Without Border has published its annual summary.

Download the report.

Four main findings:

1

Another record year

533 journalists are currently detained worldwide in connection with their work. This is 13.4 percent higher than last year’s figure. The number of female journalists in detention is growing fast—now accounting for nearly 15 percent of detained journalists, compared to fewer than seven percent five years ago.

2

China, Myanmar and Iran

The world’s biggest jailer of journalists is China (110), Myanmar (62) and Iran (47). Nearly 45 percent of the world’s imprisoned journalists are located in Asia—and more than 30 percent in the Maghreb and the Middle East.

3

57 journalists killed

57 journalists were killed in 2022—an 18.8 percent increase compared to 2021. The war that broke out in Ukraine on 24 February 2022 is one of the reasons for this rise. Eight journalists were killed in the first six months of the war.

4

The Americas most dangerous

More than 60 percent of journalists killed lost their lives in countries considered to be at peace in 2022. Eleven were murdered in Mexico alone—nearly 20 percent of the total journalists killed worldwide. Mexico (11 killed), Haiti (6), and Brazil (3) helped turn the Americas into the world’s most dangerous region for the media, with 47.4 percent of the total number of journalists killed worldwide in 2022.

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Smart speakers increase news consumption

UK’s communications regulator, Ofcom, has published a report on the adoption and usage of smart speakers.

Download the report.

Four main findings:

1

Smart speakers on the rise

The number of households that own a smart speaker in the UK has increased from 22 percent in 2020 to 39 percent in 2022.

2

Increased news consumption

Smart speakers influence the way people consume news content. 56 percent use their smart speaker—among other functions—for news consumption. Over a third said they consumed more news than before getting a smart speaker. 70 percent listen to live radio, and 37 percent listen to podcasts.

3

Reliable news

People are generally confident that they can trust the news they receive through their smart speakers. Only five percent are not trusting news via smart speakers. Meanwhile, 67 percent are concerned about privacy aspects.

4

A force for good

There is consensus among the participants across the research that smart speakers could positively impact people’s lives. Many identified ways in which they thought wider take-up of smart speakers could help certain disadvantaged groups in society – for example, older people or people with disabilities. 

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Consumer spending on podcasts is increasing sharply

Mediavision has analysed the Swedish audio market. 

Read the analysis.

Three main findings:

1

More willing to pay for podcasts

Consumer podcast payments increased by 50 percent in the third quarter of 2022 compared to last year’s period. The paid podcast market did exceed about SEK 150 million (NOK 143 million/Euro 13.5 million) in 2022.

2

Slower advertising growth

The advertising market is also growing somewhat more slowly than previously estimated. The podcast advertising market grew 28 percent to just over SEK 360 million (NOK 343.5 million/Euro 32,3 million. Advertising revenue is thus significantly greater than revenue directly from consumers, even if these are growing faster.

3

Consumer payments are increasingly important

Consumer revenues are central to many media as these are less sensitive to economic conditions than advertising revenues. If 2023 becomes a more challenging year in the advertising market, paid revenue may become even more critical for podcast players.

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Stagnating adoption of AI

McKinsey has published a survey and analysis of companies’ global adaption of AI.

Download the report.

Three main findings:

1

Stagnating adaption

While AI adoption globally is 2.5x higher today than in 2017, it has leveled off over the past few years. Today 50 percent of businesses have adopted AI in at least one business area. In 2019 the number was 58 percent.

2

Wider usage

The average number of AI capabilities organisations use, such as natural-language generation and computer vision, has also doubled—from 1.9 in 2018 to 3.8 in 2022. Robotic process automation (39 percent), computer vision (34 percent) and natural-language text understanding (33 percent) are the most commonly deployed capabilities.



3

Increasing investments

In 2018 40 percent of businesses reported that more than five percent of their digital budgets went to AI. In 2022 this number had grown to 52 percent. 63 percent say they expect their organisations’ investment to increase over the next three years.

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